Europe
Latvia - B
Debt/GDP = 0,45 (45%)Accumulated deficit for last 5 years/budget income for last 5 years = 0,147
Years since last default = 21 (Independent since 1991)
5-year inflation = 0,30 (30%)
Budget expences/GDP = 0,39
Trade deficit/GDP = 0,084
World GDP per capita/Country GDP per capita = 0,72
Political factor = 0,2
Crisis factor = 0,4 (involved in current war - Afghanistan)
Other unique factors = 1,5
OVERALL CREDIT SCORE: 0,651 (65,1%). This responds to B.
Calculated with this (new) formula:
r = 10/{[1+(debt/GDP)] + [1+10*(accumulated deficit for last 5 years/budget income for last 5 years)] + [1 + (10/years since last default)] + [1+3*(accumulated of last 5 years inflation)] + [1+(budget expences/GDP)] + [1+ 10* (trade deficit/GDP)] + [world's GDP per capita/country's GDP per capita] + [1+political factor] + [1+crisis factor] + [Other unique factors]}
Iceland - A
Debt/GDP = 1,30 (130%)Accumulated deficit for last 5 years/budget income for last 5 years = 0,028
Years since last default = 68 (Independent since 1944)
5-year inflation = 0,35 (35%)
Budget expences/GDP = 0,48
Trade deficit/GDP = -0,057 (Iceland has a trade surplus)
World GDP per capita/Country GDP per capita = 0,20
Political factor = 0
Crisis factor = 0
Other unique factors = 1,1 (some financial pressure from abroad)
OVERALL CREDIT SCORE: 0,833 (83,3%). This responds to A.
Calculated with this (new) formula:
r = 10/{[1+(debt/GDP)] + [1+10*(accumulated deficit for last 5 years/budget income for last 5 years)] + [1 + (10/years since last default)] + [1+3*(accumulated of last 5 years inflation)] + [1+(budget expences/GDP)] + [1+ 10* (trade deficit/GDP)] + [world's GDP per capita/country's GDP per capita] + [1+political factor] + [1+crisis factor] + [Other unique factors]}
Hungary - BBB
Debt/GDP = 0,82 (82%)Accumulated deficit for last 5 years/budget income for last 5 years = 0,055
Years since last default = 71 (1941)
5-year inflation = 0,24 (24%)
Budget expences/GDP = 0,51
Trade deficit/GDP = -0,075 (Hungary has a trade surplus)
World GDP per capita/Country GDP per capita = 0,66
Political factor = 0,2
Crisis factor = 0,4 (involved in current war - Afghanistan)
Other unique factors = 1,5 (populist government experimenting with economy and democracy)
OVERALL CREDIT SCORE: 0,784 (78,4%). This responds to BBB.
Calculated with this (new) formula:
r = 10/{[1+(debt/GDP)] + [1+10*(accumulated deficit for last 5 years/budget income for last 5 years)] + [1 + (10/years since last default)] + [1+3*(accumulated of last 5 years inflation)] + [1+(budget expences/GDP)] + [1+ 10* (trade deficit/GDP)] + [world's GDP per capita/country's GDP per capita] + [1+political factor] + [1+crisis factor] + [Other unique factors]}
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